Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31 26.1%
September 30 15.3%
June 30 4.1%
May 31 2.1%
No price history yet.

May 31
$5.43M Volume
2%

March 31
$1.94M Volume
2%

June 30
$1.94M Volume
4%

April 30
$1.94M Volume
2%

September 30
$754K Volume
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
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