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Prediction markets

542 active markets · category “Politics”

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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM
Starmer - UK PM99%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President2%22 more
$41.7MVol. Dec 31politics
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

10–15s
10–15s99%
15s+
15s+2%5 more
$1.41MVol. Dec 31politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

99%

chance

YesNo
$3.77MVol. Dec 31politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

6%

chance

YesNo
$6.67MVol. Jul 15politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

30%

chance

YesNo
$12.0MVol. Jul 31politics
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

99%

chance

YesNo
$455KVol. Dec 31politics
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

June 30
June 3099%
December 31
December 3199%1 more
$468KVol. Dec 31politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva99%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro41%30 more
$110.1MVol. Oct 4politics
Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Seán Kyne
Seán Kyne99%
Sheila Garrity
Sheila Garrity2%25 more
$257KVol. Mar 31politics
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

99%

chance

YesNo
$121KVol. Jul 31politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

14%

chance

YesNo
$9.70MVol. Dec 31politics
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027
June 30, 202798%
December 31
December 3148%4 more
$990KVol. Dec 31politics