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Prediction markets
12 active markets
· category “Science”
By volume
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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
5
2%
Yes
No
6 or lower
4%
Yes
No
$2.86M
Vol.
science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
0
19%
Yes
No
5
2%
Yes
No
$17K
Vol.
science
Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?
1900
99%
Yes
No
2000
22%
Yes
No
$76K
Vol.
science
Precipitation in Seoul in May?
130-140mm
68%
100-110mm
57%
6 more
$3.0K
Vol.
science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
240mm+
33%
<180mm
26%
6 more
$8.3K
Vol.
science
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 19, 2026?
85–90
99%
80–85
2%
4 more
$12K
Vol.
science
How many SpaceX launches in May?
14 or more
4%
Yes
No
≤8
16%
Yes
No
$1.4K
Vol.
science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
15%
chance
Yes
No
$81K
Vol.
science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$606K
Vol.
science
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$106K
Vol.
science
Natural Disaster in 2026?
46%
chance
Yes
No
$219K
Vol.
science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$10K
Vol.
science